For an administration adamant on stymieing America’s clean energy transition, the early scorecard looks a tad bit complicated.

On one hand, policy whiplash is clearly taking a toll ever since the return of President Trump, $42 billion worth of projects have been delayed, shrunk or canceled, while another analysis put forth by fortune in 2025 estimates about $14 billion in clean energy investments is on hold or scrapped this year alone, alongside 10,000 lost jobs. 

From the investors, the message is clear once the politics are stripped: uncertainty kills momentum, especially when it’s coming from multiple fronts. The possible rollback of tax credits, which was responsible for spurring a wave of clean energy investment now puts at risk $132 billion in announced plans since the IRA. In addition, federal funding cuts have pulled the rug out from under startups in some cases canceling grants worth $20 billion in late 2025 and remaining at $5 billion in early 2026. Even projects that were nearly complete have been halted, raising questions about whether contracts and permits in the U.S. still carry weight.

The market isn’t waiting for policy

Unbeknownst to the mainstream perhaps, in March, the U.S. quietly achieved a groundbreaking record. For the first time clean power led from the top for a full month following a 35.1% electricity generated from renewables, edging past gas at 34.4% .Even better is the fact that 93% of all new electricity capacity being added in 2026 is expected to come from solar, wind, and batteries, with only a 7% reliance on fossil fuels.

Simply put, it doesn’t matter if Washington debates or undermines renewable energy; the grid is already shifting. The U.S. accounts for just 16% of global energy transition investment. Meaning, even if clean tech is slowing down in home turf clean tech at home, the broader momentum isn’t waiting on policy. Startups and corporations are also acclimating in real time by pivoting toward geothermal and AI-linked energy demand to stay viable while being devoid of federal backing.

More than 300 startups recently gathered in late March at the CERAWeek by S&P Global searching for capital in a post-subsidy world. Ultimately, policy may delay projects but cannot change the important economics of how in-demand and deployable renewables are. In the end, clean energy doesn't need political validation when its numbers are starting to make sense without it.

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